The Australian dollar has been unable to make headway. So, AUD/USD retreated to lows below 0.6720 during Thursday's Asian session before a recovery to 0.6740. The pair remains close to 10-year lows just below 0.6700 registered earlier in August.
The latest Australian macroeconomic data remained weak with business investment declining 0.5% in the second quarter following a revised 1.3% decline in the first quarter. There was also a sharp 7.2% drop in new home sales following a 12.4% slump in the previous month.
There was, however, a 2.5% increase in plant and machinery spending which is a key component in the GDP calculation.
Domestic bond yields remain close to record lows with the benchmark 10-year yield around 0.88% with negative yields in real terms. The bond market is overbought given domestic inflation trends.
Second-quarter GDP data will be released next Wednesday and growth will also be supported by robust government spending.
The Reserve Bank of Australian will announce its latest interest rate decision on Tuesday with interest rates expected to be held at 1.00%.
Global trade and growth fears will continue to determine market sentiment in the short term with fears that the US-China trade war will severely damage growth. Inevitably, AUD/USD will be driven by trade headlines.
Australia's trade surplus hit a record high in July. Copper managed to recover from 2-year lows recorded earlier this week with iron ore prices also making strong gains on Thursday. Gold is trading near 6-year highs while silver remains at 28-month highs.
Despite the gloomy market mood, the Baltic dry bulk index which is an index of activity in the shipping sector has strengthened to the highest level since late 2013 which suggests that underlying global trade conditions have held firm.
CFTC data recorded little change in the latest week and close to record highs, indicating prospects for short covering if sentiment shifts.
Technically, there should be strong AUD/USD support into the 0.6700 area.
週一,美國在週末於瑞士舉行的為期兩天的會議後宣布與中國的貿易談判取得「重要進展」。市場對此消息的反應是,股票指數期貨交易跳空高開,黃金價格下跌。
由於美元的廣泛走強,英鎊/美元匯率又一次面臨壓力。上週,英鎊試圖因應英國央行五月會議結果以及華府與倫敦達成貿易協議的公告而突破1.34區域。
金融市場的變化真是迅速!在美國解放日之前,投資者認為 10% 的通用進口關稅是一場災難。然而,如今它被視為最有利的選擇。
週一沒有安排任何宏觀經濟事件。基本面發展也會有限,但目前尚不清楚是哪些因素在影響價格形成。
下週對所有美元貨幣對來說都將充滿波動性。市場將對美國與中國代表在日內瓦會議的結果作出反應。
EUR/USD 貨幣對在週五略微上升,整體來說,過去幾週一直在緩慢下跌。這種走勢如此遲緩,以至於我們最近將其歸類為盤整市場。
美國未來一週的經濟日曆不會充斥著太多數據。如果我們排除次要報告,僅剩4月份的消費者價格指數(CPI),將於周三公佈。
英鎊的波動模式和市場對新聞的關注目前反映了歐元的情況。上週,市場有機會降低對GBP/USD工具的需求,即使考慮到特朗普的貿易戰,這也不會令人驚訝。
Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.
If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.
Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?
Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaTrade anyway.
We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.