The US economic data had little impact and USD/JPY moves will be dominated by trade developments.
With markets looking for fresh impetus, the US economic data was oflittle importance to traders. The revised reading of the second-quarter GDP came in at 2.0% from the flash reading of 2.1% and in line with consensus forecasts, although consumer spending growth was revised upward.
Initial jobless claims increased to 215,000 from 211,000 previously, also in line with market expectations.
The goods trade deficit narrowed to $72.3bn in July from $74.2bn in the previous month as imports declined slightly on the month.
Treasuries edged lower after the data, but the 10-year yield was trapped below 1.50%.
USD/JPY hit resistance close to 106.40 and retreated to 106.25 with the US currency struggling to take advantage of gains in US equity futures. The overall yield structure will limit potential USD support with Japanese funds wary over funnelling capital overseas.
Trade rhetoric will continue to set the tone in the market in the short term. Although China has confirmed that US and Chinese trade teams have been conversing, it also stated that negotiations in September would be dependent on the right atmosphere to nurture constructive negotiations.
The dollar will get a short-lived boost if it is confirmed that the September negotiations in Washington will take place as scheduled. However, overall sentiment will inevitably remain fragile, especially given the threat of erratic rhetoric from President Trump. Trading volumes will also decline ahead of the US long weekend with Labor Day on Monday.
There will be very tough resistance on any USD/JPY approach to 106.75 with short-term support on approach to 105.70.
週五,英鎊/美元貨幣對表現出上升的趨勢。我們可以看到,首先,該貨幣對再次未能突破橫盤通道。
週五,EUR/USD 貨幣對的交易方式相當符合技術性且可預測。美國美元未能繼續週三和週四的勢頭,當時美元突破了盤整近三週的高位區間。
歐元/美元貨幣對在週五無法繼續其下行趨勢。這並不令人驚訝,因為任何美元的增長都來之不易。
在我的早間預測中,我強調了1.3283這個水平,並計劃根據此水準來決定市場進入的時機。現在讓我們觀察一下5分鐘圖表,分析發生了什麼情況。
在我上午的預測中,我注意到了1.1257這一水平,並計劃圍繞它制定進場決策。現在讓我們來看看5分鐘圖表,分析那裡發生了什麼情況。
週五沒有預計的宏觀經濟事件。基本面發展也將受到限制,但目前尚不清楚哪些因素影響價格形成。
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