如果我們查看黃金商品的4小時圖表,可以看到一個看跌的123形態,隨後出現幾個看跌的Ross Hook(RH),並且黃金價格的走勢確認在WMA(30 Shift 2)下方運行,該指標也顯示出下降趨勢,再加上黃金價格走勢與隨機震盪指標之間出現負背離。從這些跡象來看,黃金近期有可能繼續走弱,將會測試2998.92這一水平的支撐能力,若成功跌破並收於此水平之下,那麼黃金將會測試下一目標2985.44,若下行波動性和動能足夠強,黃金不排除會繼續下跌至2956.13。然而,如果在下行途中黃金突然再度轉強,突破並收於3047.00之上,則這一看跌情景將會失效並自動取消。
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截至週五,美元/加元匯率連續第二天承壓,這是由多種負面因素所引發的。 昨日,美國的宏觀經濟數據弱於預期,強化了市場對美聯儲進一步降息的預期,令美元多頭處於守勢。
在昨日相對平靜的市場中,儘管歐洲和美國發布了各種經濟數據,歐元依然上漲了13個點。至少,這確認了單一貨幣繼續上漲的意圖。
週五可能會標誌著連續第四天出現看跌(黑色)日K線。上次出現這種模式是在2月3日至6日。
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