EUR/USD
The Federal Reserve's statement: "Recent indicators of spending and production have softened. Nonetheless, job gains have been robust in recent months, and the unemployment rate has remained low. Inflation remains elevated, reflecting supply and demand imbalances related to the pandemic, higher food and energy prices, and broader price pressure.
Russia's war against Ukraine is causing tremendous human and economic hardship. The war and related events are creating additional upward pressure on inflation and are weighing on global economic activity. The Committee is highly attentive to inflation risks.
The Committee seeks to achieve maximum employment and inflation at the rate of 2 percent over the longer run. In support of these goals, the Committee decided to raise the target range for the federal fund rate to 2-1/4 to 1-1/2 percent and anticipates ongoing increases in the target range will be appropriate. In addition, the Committee will continue reducing its holdings of Treasury securities and agency debt and agency-mortgage-backed securities, as described in the Plans for Reducing the Size of the Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet that were issued in May. The Committee is strongly committed to returning inflation to its 2 percent objective.
In assessing the appropriate stance of monetary policy, the Committee will continue to monitor the implications of incoming inflation for the economic outlook. The Committee would be prepared to adjust the stance of monetary policy as appropriate if risks emerge that could impede the attainment of the Committee's goals. The Committee's assignments will take into account a wide range of information, including readings on public health, labor market, conditions, inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and financial and international developments.
Voting for the monetary policy action were Jerome H. Powell, Chair; John C. Williams, Vice Chair; Michael S. Barr; Michelle W. Bowman; Lael Brainard; James Bullard; Susan M. Collins; Lisa D. Cook; Esther L. George; Phillip N. Jefferson; Loretta J. Mester; and Christopher J. Waller."
美國的就業增長在4月可能放緩,不過失業率預計將保持不變,顯示勞動力需求健康但屬於溫和增長。然而,特朗普政府的新貿易政策可能對勞動力市場造成顯著損害。
隨著交易者越來越多地押注於歐洲央行即將作出的貨幣政策決策,歐洲貨幣持續對美元失去優勢。 根據數據,預計歐洲央行在九月降息的機率顯著上升。
本週最後一個交易日呈現積極走勢。中國準備展開談判的消息激勵了投資者購買風險資產並削弱了美元。
市場對於關稅不會成為現實,或者公司能夠將關稅轉嫁給顧客的信心十足。標普500指數的八日連漲——自八月份以來的最長漲勢——強烈暗示了這一點。
在星期四,英鎊/美元貨幣對持續下跌。美元已連續三天增強,儘管沒有實質的理由。
週四,歐元兌美元貨幣對再次相對冷靜地交易,但此次美元未能顯示任何顯著的增長。偶爾一點點好消息也能帶來巨大影響。
在最近的一次會議上,日本銀行保持所有主要政策設定不變,實施了最預期的基準情境——儘管之前央行官員的聲明相互矛盾。 日圓對5月會議結果反應消極。
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