EUR/USD
The Federal Reserve's statement: "Recent indicators of spending and production have softened. Nonetheless, job gains have been robust in recent months, and the unemployment rate has remained low. Inflation remains elevated, reflecting supply and demand imbalances related to the pandemic, higher food and energy prices, and broader price pressure.
Russia's war against Ukraine is causing tremendous human and economic hardship. The war and related events are creating additional upward pressure on inflation and are weighing on global economic activity. The Committee is highly attentive to inflation risks.
The Committee seeks to achieve maximum employment and inflation at the rate of 2 percent over the longer run. In support of these goals, the Committee decided to raise the target range for the federal fund rate to 2-1/4 to 1-1/2 percent and anticipates ongoing increases in the target range will be appropriate. In addition, the Committee will continue reducing its holdings of Treasury securities and agency debt and agency-mortgage-backed securities, as described in the Plans for Reducing the Size of the Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet that were issued in May. The Committee is strongly committed to returning inflation to its 2 percent objective.
In assessing the appropriate stance of monetary policy, the Committee will continue to monitor the implications of incoming inflation for the economic outlook. The Committee would be prepared to adjust the stance of monetary policy as appropriate if risks emerge that could impede the attainment of the Committee's goals. The Committee's assignments will take into account a wide range of information, including readings on public health, labor market, conditions, inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and financial and international developments.
Voting for the monetary policy action were Jerome H. Powell, Chair; John C. Williams, Vice Chair; Michael S. Barr; Michelle W. Bowman; Lael Brainard; James Bullard; Susan M. Collins; Lisa D. Cook; Esther L. George; Phillip N. Jefferson; Loretta J. Mester; and Christopher J. Waller."
週四預計只有少數宏觀經濟事件發布,但昨天的發展已經顯示出市場開始忽視大部分的數據發布。只有少數報告能夠被幸運地納入市場定價。
週三,英鎊/美元貨幣對成功避免了大幅下跌,儘管在此之前,看起來似乎已經開始下跌趨勢。但市場迅速反彈,認識到基本背景並沒有發生改變。
在週三,歐元/美元貨幣對沒有繼續下跌。俗話說,「凡事適可而止。
紐西蘭第一季度的通脹略高於預期,年同比增長從2.2%上升至2.5%。這主要由於商品部門的推動,而核心通脹則如預測般放緩。
英國的通脹壓力正在逐漸緩解,但仍然偏高。在三月份,核心指數的同比增長率從3.5%下降至3.4%,而總體消費者物價指數(CPI)則從2.8%降至2.6%。
貿易戰中不會有真正的贏家。美國將因失去對美元和其他美國資產的信任而受苦,同時歐洲將因經濟放緩而面臨困境,而這一情況已經初露端倪。
英鎊/日圓貨幣對正在從190.00的心理關口,或今天較早時達到的兩周高點回撤。在英國PMI數據令人失望後,賣壓加劇,將現貨價格拉低至約188.25的新日低點。
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