Bitcoin
Higher timeframes
October provided bulls with moments of optimism, pushing the market away from the support of the monthly short-term trend towards the next resistance of the monthly death cross (35,908). Meanwhile, Bitcoin managed to close October within the monthly cloud (33,286), making the upper boundary of the Ichimoku cloud (40,490) the next upward target on this timeframe.
The result of October's activity was also the formation of an upward target for breaking the weekly cloud (38,320 - 40,858). These target levels (38,320 - 40,490 - 40,858) have been planned by the bullish players for November following the optimism and activity of October. This will only be possible if the bulls maintain and continue the October sentiment.
If priorities change and the bears return to the market. In that case, their focus will first be on exiting the monthly cloud (33,286) and then testing and liquidating the existing golden crosses of Ichimoku on the weekly and daily timeframes. The nearest supports from the golden crosses of Ichimoku at the moment can be noted at 32,380 - 31,743 - 31,261.
H4 - H1
As of writing, the main advantage on the lower timeframes remains with the bullish players. However, the balance of power is very fragile because the weekly long-term trend (34,815) has been acting as support for a long time, responsible for the distribution and balance of power. Bitcoin can lose this support at any moment, after which the market's attention will shift within the day to the supports of the classic pivot points. The primary priority in this case will be the strengthening of bearish sentiments.
Note that the loss of the key level of the lower timeframes—34,815 (weekly long-term trend), is currently associated with losing the center of attraction of the daily timeframe—34,902 (short-term trend). A secure consolidation below 34,902 - 34,815 opens up new prospects for bears, both within the day and on the higher timeframes.
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The technical analysis of the situation uses:
Higher timeframes - Ichimoku Kinko Hyo (9.26.52) + Fibo Kijun levels
H1 - Pivot Points (classic) + Moving Average 120 (weekly long-term trend)
截至週五,美元/加元匯率連續第二天承壓,這是由多種負面因素所引發的。 昨日,美國的宏觀經濟數據弱於預期,強化了市場對美聯儲進一步降息的預期,令美元多頭處於守勢。
在昨日相對平靜的市場中,儘管歐洲和美國發布了各種經濟數據,歐元依然上漲了13個點。至少,這確認了單一貨幣繼續上漲的意圖。
週五可能會標誌著連續第四天出現看跌(黑色)日K線。上次出現這種模式是在2月3日至6日。
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