在美國交易時段早期,EUR/USD 貨幣對在1.1358附近交易,位於4月18日形成的下跌通道內。該貨幣對承受著看空壓力。我們認為該貨幣對距離下跌通道底部還有很長的距離。
預計歐元在接下來幾個小時將會反彈,達到1.1429。在H4圖上,技術上已經到達超賣水平。鑑於此,我們預期歐元會恢復,直至達到21SMA,甚至是下跌趨勢通道頂部。然後,我們可以再次開始賣出。
如果歐元回落,這將被視為賣出信號,目標在1.1358和1.1230。在短期內,我們相信歐元可能會達到5/8 Murray附近的1.10心理水平。
在三月份,歐元留下了一個在1.0362附近的缺口,未來幾周內可能會到達此區域。關鍵是等待價格跌破1.1000的心理水平。
另一方面,如果歐元繼續上升,我們應該預期突破並鞏固在1.1440以上。屆時將確認多頭趨勢,EUR/USD 可能達到1.15甚至1.1580,最終可能達到8/8 Murray附近的1.1718。
我們接下來幾個小時的交易計畫是等待歐元反彈至1.1429 或 1.1435 附近的阻力水準再賣出,目標可達1.1230。
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*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解,而不是给出交易的指示。
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