上週五,EUR/USD 以下影線突破了 23.6% 的斐波那契回撤水平,然後急劇反轉向上,於週一早晨繼續上升。Marlin 振盪指標似乎已經停止下降並開始轉向上升。
如果在較低時間框架上確認向上走勢,漲勢可能會延續至近期高點1.0955,然後進一步延伸至1.1027——即2024年9月3日的低點。
在H4圖表上,Marlin振盪器即將進入正值區域。
一旦價格鞏固在中間水平1.0862(上週五高點)以上,上升趨勢可能會繼續朝向第一個目標1.0955。如果跌破支撐水平1.0762,則將開啟通往下一個目標1.0667的道路,這一點接近50.0%斐波那契回撤水準。
截至週五,美元/加元匯率連續第二天承壓,這是由多種負面因素所引發的。 昨日,美國的宏觀經濟數據弱於預期,強化了市場對美聯儲進一步降息的預期,令美元多頭處於守勢。
在昨日相對平靜的市場中,儘管歐洲和美國發布了各種經濟數據,歐元依然上漲了13個點。至少,這確認了單一貨幣繼續上漲的意圖。
週五可能會標誌著連續第四天出現看跌(黑色)日K線。上次出現這種模式是在2月3日至6日。
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