市場參與者因華盛頓意圖對幾乎所有美國貿易夥伴擴大關稅至20%而再度感到恐慌。上週五,標準普爾500指數暴跌1.97%,現在股市可能主導風險情緒的走向。如果出現這種情況,歐元可能無法承受壓力,並可能走向中期下行趨勢。
在日線圖上,該單一貨幣持續攀升。Marlin 指標的信號線已進入正區域,形式上,價格正朝著目標價位1.0955進發。這一變動還有時間,因為關鍵進展預計將在4月3日,當新的關稅生效時發生。投資者將會根據這些措施重新評估風險。在四小時圖上,價格正在接近MACD線。這是一個即時信號,因為若能在此阻力位上方盤整,將表明多頭已準備好繼續向1.0955的上漲行程。最初的推力來自Marlin振盪指標從零線反彈。
最近的支撐位是1.0762。若跌破該點,將打開通往1.0667目標的道路。S&P 500指數的走向將影響趨勢在任一方向上的可持續性。目前,形勢仍不明朗。
昨日來自德國的數據超出預期。三月份的工業生產增加了3.0%,而此前預測為0.9%,二月份則下降了1.3%。
預計歐元/英鎊貨幣對將逆轉其下行趨勢並開始上漲。自4月11日以來的楔形下降顯然具有調整結構,並且這一下行走勢已顯示出首次疲軟和觸底的跡象。
在小時圖上,周三的GBP/USD貨幣對未能繼續其上升走勢。隔夜,它跌破了1.3344–1.3357區間,隨後迅速回到該區間並從中反彈。
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