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04.04.2025 05:34 AM
2025年4月4日英鎊/美元匯率預測

截至昨日,英鎊上漲了92點,最高漲幅達到204點。價格達到了1.3184–1.3208的目標範圍,然後回落到1.3101的支撐位。這是一個理想的區域,可以等待今天美國就業數據的發佈,因為它靠近1.3001–1.3208區間的中點。

預測3月份的新非農就業人數為137,000,低於2月份的151,000。失業率預計維持在4.1%不變。

如果數據接近預測,英鎊可能會下跌,原因是美國國債收益率相較於英國國債收益率下降的速度更快。美國5年期國債收益率為3.40%,而英國同行的收益率為4.10%。

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英鎊最接近的下行目標是1.3001。此外,Marlin振盪器的上升速度遠低於3月3日至6日,這表明可能會轉為整合或逆轉。如果跌破1.3001,將使振盪器進入負區間,並開啟通向1.2816至1.2847目標範圍的道路。

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在H4圖表上,價格開始在1.3101水平以下盤整。 Marlin指標正在下行,顯示出看跌傾向。 跌破1.3001也將意味著突破MACD線。截至今早,前景偏空。 我們正在等待美國就業數據的公佈。疲弱的數據後若價格上升,可能會將英鎊推向1.3311的目標水平。

Laurie Bailey,
Analytical expert of InstaTrade
© 2007-2025
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