昨天的美元兌日圓高波動性並未改變看跌情緒——燭體從未關閉在平衡線之上。今天早上的下跌幾乎吞噬了昨天的白色燭台。
價格正在嘗試回落到支撐區域145.08/91以下,目標測試143.45。再往下,下一個目標將會是141.70,這對應於2023年12月及2024年8月和9月的低點。
在日線圖上,Marlin振盪器的信號線第二次從零線向下轉折。這可能表明下跌趨勢的延續。
在4小時圖上,MACD線已成為向上運動的強大阻力。價格已經跌破平衡線,儘管Marlin仍然樂觀。我們預期市場會冷靜下來,價格將回到145.08/91範圍內。
從日線圖可以看出,獨特的 USD/IDR 貨幣對似乎形成了一個看跌的 123 型態,隨後出現了 2 個看跌的 Ross Hook (RH),這表明美元兌加魯達貨幣開始走弱。USD/IDR 也成功突破並且收盤於其看漲通道之下,這也得到了其價格走勢的確認,其移動在 WMA (21) 下方並且斜率減小,表明在接下來的幾天內,儘管 USD/IDR 有可能測試 16626.24 水平,只要其增強未能突破並收於 16687.27 水平之上,USD/IDR 仍有可能繼續走弱至 16299.55 水平,作為其第一個目標,而如果波動性和勢頭支持,16210.03 將是下一個目標。
英鎊在每日燭圖收盤時難以突破1.3311的阻力位。在當前背景下,該水平與每日Marlin振盪器的零(中性)線一致。
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