昨天,美國總統唐納德·特朗普對於未對初始美國關稅進行報復的國家,將關稅降低至10%,為期90天(總共有超過75個國家)。同時,對中國的關稅提高至125%。標普500指數飆升9.51%,美元指數微跌0.08%,而歐元在盤中曾形成130點的上影線後,以小幅下跌收盤。
週四已經開始新一輪的增長。突破1.1027的阻力位後,我們預期價格將向1.1110/50區間移動。Marlin振盪指標正在緩慢向上轉向。
在H4圖表上,價格曾短暫維持在1.1027之上,但隨後跌破1.0955的支撐位。然而,由於未能持續收在該水平之下,看漲情緒依然保持完好。
我們預期將再次堅定地突破1.1027,並進一步增長至目標區間。
Marlin震盪指標已經走弱,目前處於滯後狀態。在1.1027之上鞏固將有助於震盪指標恢復並支持上升趨勢。
從日線圖可以看出,獨特的 USD/IDR 貨幣對似乎形成了一個看跌的 123 型態,隨後出現了 2 個看跌的 Ross Hook (RH),這表明美元兌加魯達貨幣開始走弱。USD/IDR 也成功突破並且收盤於其看漲通道之下,這也得到了其價格走勢的確認,其移動在 WMA (21) 下方並且斜率減小,表明在接下來的幾天內,儘管 USD/IDR 有可能測試 16626.24 水平,只要其增強未能突破並收於 16687.27 水平之上,USD/IDR 仍有可能繼續走弱至 16299.55 水平,作為其第一個目標,而如果波動性和勢頭支持,16210.03 將是下一個目標。
英鎊在每日燭圖收盤時難以突破1.3311的阻力位。在當前背景下,該水平與每日Marlin振盪器的零(中性)線一致。
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