日元在前一天大幅下跌,原因是有关貿易戰暫停90天的意外消息。這一發展支持了美元,但其增長是否會持續仍不確定。預計今天公佈的美國消費者通脹數據將顯示3月份的增速放緩。如果得到證實,這對可能會急劇下降,因為這將強化美聯儲今年至少降息一次的預期。同時,日本央行傾向於加息。這表明利率政策之間的差異在增大。
從技術角度來看,該匯率在144.20至148.00的寬幅範圍內波動。鑑於今天的美國消息,它可能會降至這一範圍的下邊界。
我認為該貨幣對可能會下降至144.20。潛在的入場點在146.38。
從日線圖可以看出,獨特的 USD/IDR 貨幣對似乎形成了一個看跌的 123 型態,隨後出現了 2 個看跌的 Ross Hook (RH),這表明美元兌加魯達貨幣開始走弱。USD/IDR 也成功突破並且收盤於其看漲通道之下,這也得到了其價格走勢的確認,其移動在 WMA (21) 下方並且斜率減小,表明在接下來的幾天內,儘管 USD/IDR 有可能測試 16626.24 水平,只要其增強未能突破並收於 16687.27 水平之上,USD/IDR 仍有可能繼續走弱至 16299.55 水平,作為其第一個目標,而如果波動性和勢頭支持,16210.03 將是下一個目標。
英鎊在每日燭圖收盤時難以突破1.3311的阻力位。在當前背景下,該水平與每日Marlin振盪器的零(中性)線一致。
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