根據我們之前列出的情境(參見參考資料),英鎊持續上升,正邁向1.3311的磁性點,這是日線圖上升價格通道的上邊界的交叉點。
達到此水平的目標日期是4月17日,即歐洲中央銀行利率決策日期。這次會議很可能成為這週的重要事件,並且中央銀行可能會帶來意外驚喜。在「關稅戰爭」的背景下,我們不能排除更激進的降息行動。
在四小時圖上,價格已經穩定在1.3184–1.3208的目標範圍之上。Marlin振盪指標似乎正在整固,但在過去兩天裡略有下降。一旦價格達到目標水平,就可能形成反轉模式。我們預期價格會上升至1.3311,然後關注市場如何回應歐洲央行的決策。
截至週五,美元/加元匯率連續第二天承壓,這是由多種負面因素所引發的。 昨日,美國的宏觀經濟數據弱於預期,強化了市場對美聯儲進一步降息的預期,令美元多頭處於守勢。
在昨日相對平靜的市場中,儘管歐洲和美國發布了各種經濟數據,歐元依然上漲了13個點。至少,這確認了單一貨幣繼續上漲的意圖。
週五可能會標誌著連續第四天出現看跌(黑色)日K線。上次出現這種模式是在2月3日至6日。
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