17.04.2025 11:07 AM週三，歐元再次進入了目標區間1.1385–1.1420。然而，最近的價格走勢表明，1.1385這一水平現在似乎不再重要——我們看到一個在1.1276至1.1420之間的整固區間。在這個區間內，歐元將等待今天歐洲央行會議的結果。經濟學家預計利率將從2.65%下調至2.40%。近幾天，市場參與者提高了其鴿派預期，甚至考慮進一步降息至2.15%（-0.50%）或略高一點——大約在2.25–2.30%之間。
總體來看，我們預計會跌破1.1276的支撐位，並向1.1110/50區間移動。突破這一區域將開啟通往1.0955目標水平的道路——即3月18日的高點。Marlin震盪指標已經進入負值區域，並有可能將價格拖下。
在H4圖表上，價格再次跌破1.1385區間的下邊界。目前支撐位1.1276已暴露。隨著歐洲央行的決定，MACD線（1.1230）可能也會被突破。
只有當價格穩定在1.1535水平以上時，才可能有替代情況發生。
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