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The USD/JPY pair rebounded as the Dollar Index seems oversold while the Japanese Yen Futures ended its growth. It was traded at 136.68 at the time of writing. Still, the current rebound could be only a temporary one.
Tomorrow, the Japanese economic data could change the sentiment. The Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes, SPPI, and the BOJ Core CPI could bring more volatility. The US CB Consumer Confidence could be decisive. Worse than expected US data could force the greenback to depreciate.
Fundamentally, the most important event of the week is represented by the FOMC. The Federal Funds Rate is expected to be increased from 1.75% to 2.50%.
As you can see on the H1 chart, the price turned to the upside after reaching 135.56. Now, it has developed an up-channel that could represent a bearish pattern. Now, it challenges the 136.71 - 137.00 resistance zone.
Staying below this zone may signal that the downside movement is not over yet. Only a valid breakout above 137.00 could announce further growth.
Testing and retesting the 136.71 - 13700 resistance area, registering only false breakouts, and making a valid breakdown below the uptrend line could announce a new sell-off. A new lower low, dropping and closing below 136.21 could bring new selling opportunities.
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*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
The test of the 144.86 level occurred when the MACD indicator had just started to move upward from the zero line, confirming a valid entry point for buying the dollar
The test of the 1.3342 level in the second half of the day occurred when the MACD indicator had already significantly moved above the zero line, which limited the pair's
The price test at 1.1312 in the second half of the day coincided with the MACD indicator having already moved significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward
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